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New apartment development

Revenue side scenario projections and lease up play book.

Working with a developer in a major city, our team worked directly with the design, management and architecture firm to provide market intelligence, risk management analytics and revenue management strategy.


Competitive Analysis - direct & indirect competitive analysis

  • Other buildings in lease-up & direct comps in area

  • Indirect comps or other housing types which compete (location dependent)

  • Incentive analysis

Supply & Availability Analysis

  • Seasonality Analysis (opening date and timing of the lease-up)

  • Unit type Analysis

  • Pre and post lease-up of catchment area

Demographic & Economic Analysis - analysis of catchment area including

  • Housing data

  • Vacancy & pricing data

  • Population demographics and income level.

Demographic & Unit Type Analysis - suitability analysis of demographics & unit types


Conversion Rate Analysis - historical conversion rate analysis (if available)


Marketing & Spend Analysis

  • Marketing & advertising spend

  • Incentives and conversion rates needed for each stage

Lease-up Simulation - lease-up outcome simulation


Scenario Analysis - based on simulation outcomes map potential distribution of outcomes

  • Cash flow and NOI analysis for 5 scenarios: Worst, Bad, Base, Good, Best

  • Average pricing for unit type and overall lease-up length

  • Action plan for each scenario

  • Go-to-market vs stabilized pricing

Optimization Analysis

  • Which scenarios should be planned for

  • Metrics to determine success

Risks and Contingency Planning


Pre-Launch Plan - strategy, marketing and operations planning leading up to launch.


Pre-Launch Plan - strategy, marketing and operations planning leading up to launch.


Staffing Requirements - staffing requirements for leasing and commission structure analysis


3 Month Plan

  • Go to market pricing, success metrics, pivot points determined

  • Marketing success or pivot point requirements determined

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